2022.10.12(水)ドル円がやばい

こんにちは。

 

2022年10月12日の市況まとめです。

 

主なトピック

ニュース

  • 米9月PPI、市場予想上回り、ドル買い強まる

 

注目経済指標

チャート

米国金利(10年)

ポイント

  • 金利と株価はトレードオフの関係。数日連続して金利が上昇すると株価が大きく下がる可能性あり。
  • 物価が上昇すると金利が上がる
  • 平常時は、短期金利(2年)< 長期金利(10年)。これが逆転すると景気後退(リセッション)を示唆すると言われている

 

前日の値動き

 

5日間の値動き

 

VIX(恐怖指数)

ポイント

  • 米国S&P500指数のオプション取引を基に算出されているが、日経平均株価にも大きく影響する
  • 通常時:10~20%、30%:警戒域、40%以上:パニック状態
  • VIXが40%まで跳ね上がると「底打ち=買い場」と言われている


new TradingView.MediumWidget( { "symbols": [ [ "恐怖指数", "CAPITALCOM:VIX|1D" ] ], "chartOnly": false, "width": 1000, "height": 500, "locale": "ja", "colorTheme": "light", "autosize": false, "showVolume": false, "hideDateRanges": false, "scalePosition": "right", "scaleMode": "Normal", "fontFamily": "-apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Trebuchet MS, Roboto, Ubuntu, sans-serif", "noTimeScale": false, "valuesTracking": "1", "chartType": "area", "fontColor": "rgba(0, 0, 0, 1)", "gridLineColor": "rgba(42, 46, 57, 0.06)", "backgroundColor": "rgba(255, 255, 255, 1)", "lineWidth": 3, "lineColor": "#2962ff", "topColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 0.3)", "bottomColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 0)", "container_id": "tradingview_3ca3a" } );

 

為替(ドル円)

考え方

  • 円安は、輸入企業にとってマイナス、輸出企業にとってプラス
  • 円高は、輸入企業にとってプラス、輸出企業にとってマイナス
  • ただし、海外拠点で現地調達、現地販売している企業にとっては影響はほとんどない
  • 輸出企業が多い日本では、円高が進むと株価が下がることが多い

 


new TradingView.MediumWidget( { "symbols": [ [ "ドル円", "FX:USDJPY|1D" ] ], "chartOnly": false, "width": 1000, "height": 500, "locale": "ja", "colorTheme": "light", "autosize": false, "showVolume": true, "hideDateRanges": false, "scalePosition": "right", "scaleMode": "Normal", "fontFamily": "-apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Trebuchet MS, Roboto, Ubuntu, sans-serif", "noTimeScale": false, "valuesTracking": "1", "chartType": "candlesticks", "fontColor": "rgba(0, 0, 0, 1)", "gridLineColor": "rgba(42, 46, 57, 0.06)", "volumeUpColor": "rgba(12, 50, 153, 0.5)", "volumeDownColor": "rgba(136, 14, 79, 0.5)", "backgroundColor": "rgba(255, 255, 255, 1)", "upColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "downColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "borderUpColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "borderDownColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "wickUpColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "wickDownColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "container_id": "tradingview_313a2" } );

 

株式市場


new TradingView.MediumWidget( { "symbols": [ [ "S&P500", "OANDA:SPX500USD|1D" ] ], "chartOnly": false, "width": 1000, "height": 500, "locale": "ja", "colorTheme": "light", "autosize": false, "showVolume": true, "hideDateRanges": false, "scalePosition": "right", "scaleMode": "Normal", "fontFamily": "-apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Trebuchet MS, Roboto, Ubuntu, sans-serif", "noTimeScale": false, "valuesTracking": "1", "chartType": "candlesticks", "fontColor": "rgba(0, 0, 0, 1)", "gridLineColor": "rgba(42, 46, 57, 0.06)", "volumeUpColor": "rgba(12, 50, 153, 0.5)", "volumeDownColor": "rgba(136, 14, 79, 0.5)", "backgroundColor": "rgba(255, 255, 255, 1)", "upColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "downColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "borderUpColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "borderDownColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "wickUpColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "wickDownColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "container_id": "tradingview_a9ec0" } );


new TradingView.MediumWidget( { "symbols": [ [ "ナスダック", "CURRENCYCOM:US100|1D" ] ], "chartOnly": false, "width": 1000, "height": 500, "locale": "ja", "colorTheme": "light", "autosize": false, "showVolume": true, "hideDateRanges": false, "scalePosition": "right", "scaleMode": "Normal", "fontFamily": "-apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Trebuchet MS, Roboto, Ubuntu, sans-serif", "noTimeScale": false, "valuesTracking": "1", "chartType": "candlesticks", "fontColor": "rgba(0, 0, 0, 1)", "gridLineColor": "rgba(42, 46, 57, 0.06)", "volumeUpColor": "rgba(12, 50, 153, 0.5)", "volumeDownColor": "rgba(136, 14, 79, 0.5)", "backgroundColor": "rgba(255, 255, 255, 1)", "upColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "downColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "borderUpColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "borderDownColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "wickUpColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "wickDownColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "container_id": "tradingview_66ee7" } );


new TradingView.MediumWidget( { "symbols": [ [ "NYダウ", "CURRENCYCOM:US30|1D" ] ], "chartOnly": false, "width": 1000, "height": 500, "locale": "ja", "colorTheme": "light", "autosize": false, "showVolume": true, "hideDateRanges": false, "scalePosition": "right", "scaleMode": "Normal", "fontFamily": "-apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Trebuchet MS, Roboto, Ubuntu, sans-serif", "noTimeScale": false, "valuesTracking": "1", "chartType": "candlesticks", "fontColor": "rgba(0, 0, 0, 1)", "gridLineColor": "rgba(42, 46, 57, 0.06)", "volumeUpColor": "rgba(12, 50, 153, 0.5)", "volumeDownColor": "rgba(136, 14, 79, 0.5)", "backgroundColor": "rgba(255, 255, 255, 1)", "upColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "downColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "borderUpColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "borderDownColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "wickUpColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "wickDownColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "container_id": "tradingview_9cdca" } );


new TradingView.MediumWidget( { "symbols": [ [ "日経平均先物", "OSE:NK225M1!|1D" ] ], "chartOnly": false, "width": 1000, "height": 500, "locale": "ja", "colorTheme": "light", "autosize": false, "showVolume": true, "hideDateRanges": false, "scalePosition": "right", "scaleMode": "Normal", "fontFamily": "-apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Trebuchet MS, Roboto, Ubuntu, sans-serif", "noTimeScale": false, "valuesTracking": "1", "chartType": "candlesticks", "fontColor": "rgba(0, 0, 0, 1)", "gridLineColor": "rgba(42, 46, 57, 0.06)", "volumeUpColor": "rgba(12, 50, 153, 0.5)", "volumeDownColor": "rgba(136, 14, 79, 0.5)", "backgroundColor": "rgba(255, 255, 255, 1)", "upColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "downColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "borderUpColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "borderDownColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "wickUpColor": "rgba(41, 98, 255, 1)", "wickDownColor": "rgba(233, 30, 99, 1)", "container_id": "tradingview_3be12" } );

 

ヒートマップ

S&P500

日経225

 

本日のイベント・指標

 

注目経済指標